Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.007032 0.007884 0.008813 0.009903 0.011152 0.012540 0.014204
2025-02-23 0.005569 0.006701 0.008040 0.009752 0.011894 0.014508 0.017966
2025-03-02 0.004868 0.006138 0.007723 0.009868 0.012726 0.016446 0.021729
2025-03-09 0.004302 0.005625 0.007350 0.009794 0.013219 0.017924 0.025012
2025-03-16 0.003756 0.005059 0.006816 0.009402 0.013180 0.018609 0.027212
2025-03-23 0.003425 0.004739 0.006569 0.009357 0.013592 0.019943 0.030503
2025-03-30 0.003283 0.004663 0.006646 0.009771 0.014708 0.022437 0.035935
2025-04-06 0.002973 0.004311 0.006281 0.009474 0.014676 0.023111 0.038449
2025-04-13 0.002715 0.004013 0.005967 0.009214 0.014664 0.023792 0.041042
2025-04-20 0.002545 0.003831 0.005813 0.009191 0.015027 0.025133 0.044994
2025-04-27 0.002463 0.003781 0.005858 0.009494 0.015972 0.027591 0.051405
2025-05-04 0.002322 0.003623 0.005715 0.009461 0.016313 0.028985 0.055933
2025-05-11 0.002211 0.003512 0.005649 0.009572 0.016963 0.031105 0.062458
2025-05-18 0.002065 0.003333 0.005455 0.009440 0.017148 0.032362 0.067401
2025-05-25 0.001975 0.003239 0.005400 0.009551 0.017809 0.034653 0.075069
2025-06-01 0.001864 0.003102 0.005256 0.009480 0.018097 0.036201 0.081294
2025-06-08 0.001718 0.002894 0.004967 0.009102 0.017712 0.036249 0.083868
2025-06-15 0.001633 0.002786 0.004854 0.009059 0.018022 0.037870 0.090732
2025-06-22 0.001612 0.002795 0.004957 0.009458 0.019327 0.041944 0.104917
2025-06-29 0.001507 0.002640 0.004737 0.009171 0.019081 0.042328 0.109046
2025-07-06 0.001414 0.002502 0.004542 0.008922 0.018893 0.042825 0.113607
2025-07-13 0.001354 0.002424 0.004458 0.008899 0.019227 0.044671 0.122575
2025-07-20 0.001333 0.002418 0.004517 0.009191 0.020339 0.048680 0.139164